View from the precipice


Many people, upon first learning of their CT heart scan score, feel like they're on the edge of a sharp drop. It can feel like you're facing a vast, unknown abyss. At the bottom, all those dreaded things that can happen to you: heart attack, heart failure, hospitals, even dying.

I've encountered this "deer in the headlights" look many times. It truly can be frightening to hear that your heart scan score is 300, or 500, or whatever.

What I find truly frightening, however, is when your score prompts the usual array of misinformation commonly dispensed by physicians: "That's so bad you need a heart catheterization", "Nobody knows why people get calcified plaque", or "Reversal is impossible". All absolute bunk.

Let your fear motivate you to do something about your risk for heart disease. Aim for reversal of your coronary plaque and seek out the tools to achieve this. It is possible and, in fact, we do it all the time. I can't claim 100% success, but the majority of people who engage in an effort like the Track Your Plaque program to reverse coronary plaque succeed. Even a substantial slowing of plaque growth from the expected 30% per year is better than submitting to the conventional approach.

At the very least, get both LDL and HDL cholesterol around 60 mg/dl. This alone is a major plus in reducing the risks associated with your heart scan score. It doesn't guaranteee reversal, but it sure tips the odds in your favor.
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Life Extension article on vitamin D

Life Extension article on vitamin D


For anyone looking for a discussion about the emerging role of vitamin D as a cause for coronary disease, see my recent article, Vitamin D’s Crucial Role in Cardiovascular Protection, in Life Extension Magazine, now posted online at:

http://www.lef.org/magazine/mag2007/sep2007_report_vitamind_01.htm.




Vitamin D has assumed an absolutely critical role in the Track Your Plaque program for coronary plaque reversal and dropping CT heart scan scores. Since adding vitamin D and aiming for blood levels of 50-60 ng/ml, our success rate has skyrocketed. In fact, I wonder just how well our two most recent record holders--51% and 63% drops in heart scan scores--would have fared without it. (They probably would have dropped, but no where near as much.)

Also, a full-length booklet that contains just about everything you want to know about vitamin D (or at least a right-this-moment summary of what is known about it) will be available to Track Your Plaque Members for free before the end of the year.

If you haven't done so already, DO THE D!!

Comments (5) -

  • wccaguy

    9/14/2007 5:24:00 AM |

    Dr. Davis,

    I continue to be amazed at how much value you are providing all the time to those of us deeply concerned about heart disease.

    Whether it's at this blog, at LEF.org, at your TrackYourPlaque.com site, or in your Track Your Plaque book, your contribution is pretty astounding.

    I only found your work in the last 2-3 weeks and already it has made a deep impression on me and I'm getting clearer about what I need to do to combat heart disease in myself and in family members.

    Thanks for all you're doing!

  • Dr. Davis

    9/14/2007 12:14:00 PM |

    Wow!

    Thanks for the feedback. I'm glad it's helping you. It is wonderful to hear back about the impact the program is having.

  • Bix

    9/15/2007 9:45:00 AM |

    Excellent article!  I especially liked the tie-in to poor kidney function.

  • Rich

    9/17/2007 1:14:00 AM |

    Dr. Davis: In your excellent LEF article, I found your reference to a fascinating statement about statins and vitamin D by Dr. David Grimes of the UK. For those interested, here is the Lancet source article (reprinting for educational purposes):

    The Lancet 2006; 368:83-86
    DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(06)68971-X

    Are statins analogues of vitamin D?
    David S Grimes MD, Blackburn Royal Infirmary, Blackburn, Lancashire BB6 8HE, UK

    Summary

    There are many reasons why the dietary-heart-cholesterol hypothesis should be questioned, and why statins might be acting in some other way to reduce the risk of coronary heart disease. Here, I propose that rather than being cholesterol-lowering drugs per se, statins act as vitamin D analogues, and explain why. This proposition is based on published observations that the unexpected and unexplained clinical benefits produced by statins have also been shown to be properties of vitamin D. It seems likely that statins activate vitamin D receptors.
    Back to top

    During the late 19th century, conventional wisdom held that masturbation was the cause of epilepsy, a more plausible explanation than the previous notion that epilepsy was the result of possession by the devil, and illness in general the result of divine interference. Since bromide was thought to reduce sexual desire, it became the logical treatment. Although reasonably successful, bromide worked for reasons that are different from the theory on which it was based. Can the same be said of statins for heart disease?

    The emergence of coronary heart disease (CHD) in the 20th century required an explanation. Some had noted that cholesterol accumulated in the walls of the arteries, and a process of accretion was hence described as the major mechanism. Cholesterol was assumed to originate from diet, and the diet-cholesterol-heart hypothesis was established. The logical treatment was to reduce dietary and serum cholesterol concentrations.

    Many inconsistencies in this hypothesis have emerged and been disregarded. In the London banking and transport study,1 for example, men with the highest dietary cholesterol intake had the lowest incidence of CHD. Furthermore, the results of the Framingham study2 showed that raised concentrations of serum cholesterol were predictive of CHD only in men younger than age 55 years. Findings of studies from Honolulu3 and Paris4 suggest a protective effect of high serum cholesterol concentrations, and the Leningrad paradox5 indicates that those exposed to famine subsequently have a high incidence of CHD, the opposite of what is expected. In Europe, populations that consume a large amount of dietary fat and cholesterol have a low incidence of CHD (the French paradox),6 and the lowest incidence of CHD is seen in European nations with the lowest consumption of wine and the most socioeconomic deprivation (the Albanian paradox).7

    Initial treatments to reduce serum cholesterol were not effective. When introduced, however, statins did greatly reduce serum cholesterol concentrations by interfering with its synthesis; the beneficial effects of statins in CHD have been assumed to be the result of cholesterol-lowering, an assumption that I believe is a serious mistake.

    Statins and the heart

    The first statin trial was the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study (4S),8 and its findings indicated a significant clinical benefit from simvastatin. The results of the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study (WOSCOPS)9 also showed clinical benefit from statins (pravastatin) and of a greater magnitude than expected; the mortality reduction was about 35%, whereas the reduction in cholesterol concentrations predicted a mortality reduction of only 25%. WOSCOPS9 showed no association between cholesterol-lowering and clinical benefit,10 indicating that cholesterol-lowering was not the mechanism by which pravastatin reduced coronary events.

    In WOSCOPS, statins lowered serum cholesterol concentrations, but also raised concentrations of HDL cholesterol and lowered those of serum triglyceride, indicating that inhibition of 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase was not the only metabolic action. The clinical experiment of cholesterol-lowering was thus intrinsically flawed, and what must be understood is that 4S and WOSCOPS were trials of statin therapy and not trials of cholesterol-lowering.

    Unexpected benefits of statins

    It is noteworthy that the participants treated with pravastatin in WOSCOPS had a reduced incidence of diabetes compared with controls.11 Additionally, when pravastatin was given to recipients of heart transplants in an attempt to reduce the likelihood of CHD, a reduction in the rate of rejection and an increase in overall survival was noted, irrespective of CHD status.12 The same pattern was seen in recipients of kidney transplants.13 Clinical benefits of statins have also been noted in a placebo-controlled trial14 of atorvastatin for rheumatoid arthritis. Furthermore, simvastatin has been used successfully to treat patients with multiple sclerosis.15 As with CHD, diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, and transplant rejection, the benefit noted with respect to multiple sclerosis is independent of any effect on serum cholesterol.
    Statins also have an effect on bone, and women who take statins have a greater bone density than those who do not.16 Moreover, the findings of the 10-year follow-up study of participants in 4S17 indicate a significantly reduced risk of cancer, particularly colorectal, lung, and prostate cancer, in those who received simvastatin. Results of a population study from Israel18 also show a greatly reduced risk of colorectal cancer in those taking statins.

    In 1974,19 a group of illustrious diet-cholesterol-heart researchers studied the association between cholesterol and cancer. They noted that high serum cholesterol concentrations conferred protection against colon cancer. The effects of statins mentioned above hence present a major paradox: how can a drug that lowers serum cholesterol concentrations reduce the risk of colon cancer when high serum cholesterol concentrations are, in fact, protective?

    A drug can act as a poison by blocking normal metabolic processes, but to produce a beneficial effect (other than antibacterial) we should assume that it is switching on or enhancing a normal metabolic process. I therefore suggest that statins mimic many of the actions of vitamin D and can be considered analogues of vitamin D.

    Sunlight and vitamin D

    Heart disease

    In Europe, there is a higher rate of mortality from CHD in the northern than in the southern countries, with the lowest rates noted along the Mediterranean coast.20 This pattern suggests that susceptibility to CHD is affected by duration of exposure to sunlight. This notion is supported by findings from the USA21,22 that the higher the altitude of residence, and hence the greater the sunlight intensity, the lower the risk of heart disease.

    Furthermore, the only dietary change that consistently protects against CHD is an increase in consumption of oily fish and fish oil, which contain large amounts of vitamin D.23 In the Netherlands, mortality from CHD was more than 50% lower in men who consumed at least 30 g of fish per day than in those who did not eat fish.24 A similar result was reported in women from a 16-year follow-up study in the USA.25

    Multiple sclerosis

    Multiple sclerosis also shows a latitude gradient in Europe, with the world's highest incidence reported in Scotland.26 The risk of developing the disease is reduced by a third by regular supplementation with vitamin D.27

    Cancer

    The risk of breast cancer and colon cancer is high in northwest Europe and much lower in the Mediterranean countries.28 And, in the UK, people die more readily from cancer in the north than in the south of the country. After being diagnosed, 34% of men with cancer and resident in Oxfordshire survive for 5 years compared with 26% of those who live in the northwest and Yorkshire. Men with stomach cancer who live in London survive on average twice as long as those who live in the northwest of England; the same applies to bladder cancer.29 Patients with colon cancer also have a greater chance of survival if they live in the south of England rather than in the north.30 The benefits of sunshine and vitamin D would explain these associations.
    Results of a study31 done in 1941 in the USA and Canada showed that the cancer death rates among residents of the most northern cities were two and a half times those of the most southern cities. An extensive study32 of more than 5000 locations in the USA has shown that incidence rates of cancer are lowest where ultraviolet light exposure is greatest. Bladder, breast, colon, kidney, oesophageal, ovarian, prostate, rectal, stomach, and uterine cancers, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma are associated with low exposure to ultraviolet light.32

    In the USA, cancer of the prostate has an increasing incidence with distance from the equator, suggesting a protective effect of sunshine. The incidence is highest in the eastern states and lowest in the west.33 This is exactly the same as with CHD, and is probably the result of a high altitude being protective because of greater ultraviolet light exposure. The association between prostate cancer and insufficient access to ultraviolet light has also been noted in the UK,34 with men exposed to low levels of ultraviolet light developing cancer at a younger age than those exposed to high levels (median age 67•7 years vs 72•1 years).

    In a study35 of 456 people with early-stage lung cancer who had undergone surgery, those diagnosed and operated on in the summer, spring, or autumn had a significantly higher 5-year survival rate than those diagnosed and operated on in the winter. The survival rate was 29% in those who took no vitamin D supplements and had treatment in the winter compared with 72% in those who took vitamin D supplements and were treated in the summer.35


    Diabetes

    The international distribution of diabetes in children is very similar to that of CHD, with incidence increasing with distance from the equator,36 again suggesting a protective effect of sunlight and vitamin D. Furthermore, children of women who do, compared with those who do not, take cod liver oil during pregnancy have a reduced incidence of type 1 diabetes.37 The findings of a retrospective study,38 undertaken in Finland and involving 10 821 children born in 1966, indicate that the incidence of diabetes in adulthood is almost ten times higher in those who do not, compared with those who do, take vitamin D supplements in childhood. The benefit of vitamin D supplementation during infancy has been further strengthened by the findings of a large study undertaken in Norway.39

    Rhematoid arthritis

    Kröger and colleagues40 noted that 16% of 143 women with rheumatoid arthritis, compared with the general population, had very low concentrations of serum calcidiol. During the winter, 73% had levels of calcitriol below the seasonally adjusted normal range and the lowest levels were in patients with very active disease. In another study,41 of 19 patients with rheumatoid arthritis given vitamin D supplements, nine reported a complete remission of symptoms, and eight a satisfactory response. Inflammatory markers also improved: the mean erythrocyte sedimentation rate fell by 43% and the mean concentrations of C-reactive protein by 52%. This study is a small one but although far from conclusive the results conform to a pattern that should not be ignored.


    Testing of my hypothesis

    In view of the above, there is a striking similarity between the benefits of vitamin D and the benefits of statin therapy. I believe that the unexpected and unexplained beneficial effects of statin therapy might be mediated by activation of vitamin D receptors by this group of drugs. This hypothesis is, in theory, easy to test.
    A prospective study should be undertaken in cancer treatment and prevention, with a factorial design, so that patients receive statins, vitamin D, a combination of statins and vitamin D, or placebo. A similar outcome in the three treatment groups would lend support to the suggestion of statins acting via vitamin D receptors. If vitamin D and statins are activating the same receptors, then if both are given in sub-maximum doses, the two together would have a greater effect than each individually. Intervention studies should also be undertaken to look at the relapse rates of established illnesses, including CHD, multiple sclerosis, and rheumatoid arthritis, comparing statins and vitamin D.

    The difficulty in doing these studies is that we know only the minimum dose of vitamin D necessary to prevent and heal rickets: we do not know the dose necessary to increase to a maximum the other effects, especially those that enhance immune competence. The same applies to statins: their effect on serum cholesterol concentrations is easy to measure, but we do not know what to measure as a biochemical surrogate for the other effects, again probably those enhancing immune competence. As such, a range of treatment doses of vitamin D and statins need to be investigated. Additionally, clinical trials of established treatments—eg, statins for CHD—are difficult to design because of the ethics of not giving an established medication (a statin), but in place a trial medication (vitamin D). Comparisons with vitamin D supplements could be undertaken, but only once the optimum dose of vitamin D has been established.

    Colonic mucosa and colonic cancer cells contain vitamin D receptors,42 strengthening my suggestion that vitamin D is biologically active in these tissues. Furthermore, vitamin D has an inhibitory effect on colonic carcinoma cell lines.43 Do statins have a similar effect? In-vitro experiments are one way that the effects of statins on vitamin D receptors could be investigated directly.

    Conclusion

    Anomalous results, such as the unexpected benefits of statins detailed here, lead to the advancement of science. Such an opportunity for research should not be overlooked. Statins should be looked at objectively and the diet-cholesterol-heart hypothesis on which the treatment was based disregarded. Statins have been described as wonder drugs because of their unexpected benefits; my hypothesis gives an opportunity for new thinking. The explanation of statins as analogues of vitamin D, if correct, would be reassuring to the millions of people who take them every day. Finally, sunlight and vitamin D might at last be recognised for their widespread health benefits.

    Conflict of interest statement
    I declare that I have no conflict of interest.


    References

    1. Morris JN, Marr JW, Clayton DG. Diet and heart: a postscript. BMJ 1977; 2: 1307-1314.
    2. Kannel WB, Castelli WP, Gordon T. Cholesterol in the prediction of atherosclerotic disease: new perspectives based on the Framingham study. Ann Intern Med 1979; 90: 85-91. MEDLINE
    3. Schatz IJ, Masaki K, Yano K, Chen R, Rodriguez BL, Curb JD. Cholesterol and all-cause mortality in elderly people from the Honolulu Heart Program: a cohort study. Lancet 2001; 358: 351-355. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (82 KB) | MEDLINE | CrossRef
    4. Forette B, Tortrat D, Wolmark Y. Cholesterol as risk factor for mortality in elderly women. Lancet 1989; 333: 868-870. CrossRef
    5. Sparén P, Vågerö D, Shestov DB, et al. Long term mortality after severe starvation during the siege of Leningrad: prospective cohort study. BMJ 2004; 328: 11-14. CrossRef
    6. Renaud S, De Lorgeril M. Wine, alcohol, platelets, and the French paradox for coronary heart disease. Lancet 1992; 339: 1523-1526. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    7. Gjonça A, Bobak M. Albanian paradox, another example of protective effect of Mediterranean lifestyle?. Lancet 1997; 350: 1815-1817. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (68 KB) | MEDLINE | CrossRef
    8. Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study Group. Randomised controlled trial of cholesterol lowering in 4444 patients with coronary heart disease: the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study (4S). Lancet 1994; 344: 1383-1389. MEDLINE
    9. Shepherd J, Cobbe SM, Ford I, et alfor the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study Group. Prevention of coronary heart disease with pravastatin in men with hypercholesterolaemia. N Engl J Med 1995; 333: 1301-1307. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    10. Packard CJfor West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Group. Influence of pravastatin and plasma lipids on clinical events in the west of Scotland coronary prevention study (WOSCOPS). Circulation 1998; 97: 1440-1445. MEDLINE
    11. Freeman DJ, Norrie J, Sattar N, et al. Pravastatin and the development of diabetes mellitus; evidence for a protective treatment effect in the west of Scotland coronary prevention study. Circulation 2001; 103: 357-362.
    12. Kobashigawa JA, Katznelson S, Laks H, et al. Effect of pravastatin on outcomes after cardiac transplantation. N Engl J Med 1995; 333: 621-627. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    13. Katznelson S, Wilkinson AH, Kobashigawa JA, et al. The effect of pravastatin on acute rejection after kidney transplantation: a pilot study. Transplantation 1996; 61: 1469-1474. MEDLINE
    14. McCarey DW, McInnes IB, Madhok R, et al. Trial of atorvastatin in rheumatoid arthritis (TARA): double-blind, randomised placebo-controlled trial. Lancet 2004; 363: 2015-2021. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (101 KB) | CrossRef
    15. Vollmer T, Key L, Durkalski V, et al. Oral simvastatin treatment in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Lancet 2004; 363: 1607-1608. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (59 KB) | CrossRef
    16. Edwards CJ, Hart DJ, Spector TD. Oral statins and increased bone-mineral density in postmenopausal women. Lancet 2000; 355: 2218-2219. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (59 KB) | MEDLINE | CrossRef
    17. Strandberg TE, Pyörälä K, Cook TJ, et alfor the 4S group. Mortality and incidence of cancer during 10-year follow-up of the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study. Lancet 2004; 364: 771-777. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (101 KB) | CrossRef
    18. Poytner JN, Gruber SB, Higgins PDR, et al. Statins and risk of colorectal cancer. N Engl J Med 2005; 352: 2184-2192. CrossRef
    19. Rose G, Blackburn H, Keys A, et al. Colon cancer and cholesterol. Lancet 1974; 1: 181-183. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    20. Grimes DS, Hindle E, Dyer T. Sunlight, cholesterol and coronary heart disease. Q J Med 1996; 89: 579-589.
    21. Mortimer EA, Monson RR, MacMahon B. Reduction in mortality from coronary heart disease in men residing at high altitude. N Engl J Med 1977; 296: 581-585. MEDLINE
    22. Voors AW, Johnson WD. Altitude and arteriosclerotic heart disease mortality of white residents of 99 of the 100 largest cities in the United States. J Chronic Dis 1979; 32: 157-162. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    23. Burr ML, Fehily AM, Gilbert JF, et al. Effects of changes in fat, fish, and fibre intakes on death and myocardial reinfarction: diet and reinfarction trial (DART). Lancet 1989; 3342: 757-761.
    24. Kromhout D, Bosschieter EB, Coulander C de L. The inverse relation between fish consumption and 20-year mortality from coronary heart disease. N Engl J Med 1985; 312: 1205-1209. MEDLINE
    25. Hu FB, Bronner L, Willett WC, et al. Fish and omega-e fatty acid intake and risk of coronary heart disease in women. JAMA 2002; 287: 1815-1821. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    26. Kurtzke JF. A reassessment of the distribution of multiple sclerosis. Acta Neurologica Scand 1975; 51: 137-157.
    27. Munger KL, Zhang SM, O'Reilly E, et al. Vitamin D intake and incidence of multiple sclerosis. Neurology 2004; 62: 60-65.
    28. Parkin DM, Whelan SL, Ferlay J, Teppo L, Thomas DB. Cancer in five continents VIII. International Association of Cancer Registries (IACR). Scientific publication number 155. Lyon: IACR, 2002:.
    29. Silman AJ, Evans SJW. Regional differences in survival from cancer. Community Med 1991; 3: 291-297. MEDLINE
    30. Coleman MP, Babb P, Damiecki P, et al. Cancer survival trends in England and Wales, 1971–1995: deprivation and NHS region. London: Stationery Office, 1999:.
    31. Apperly FL. The relationship of solar radiation to cancer mortality in North America. Cancer Res 1941; 1: 191-195.
    32. Grant WB. An estimate of premature cancer mortality in the US due to inadequate doses of solar ultraviolet-B radiation. Cancer 2002; 94: 1867-1875. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    33. Hanchette CL, Schwartz GG. Geographical patterns of prostate cancer mortality: evidence for a protective effect of ultraviolet radiation. Cancer 1992; 70: 2861-2869. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    34. Luscombe CJ, Fryer AA, French ME, et al. Exposure to ultraviolet radiation: association with susceptibility and age at presentation with prostate cancer. Lancet 2001; 358: 641-642. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (61 KB) | MEDLINE | CrossRef
    35. Zhou W, Suk R, Liu G, et al. Vitamin D predicts overall survival in early stage non-small cell lung cancer patients. American Association for Cancer Research April 16–20, 2005, abstract LB-231.
    36. Matthews DR, Spivey RS, Kennedy I. Coffee consumption as trigger for diabetes in childhood. BMJ 1990; 300: 1012. MEDLINE
    37. Stene LC, Ulriksen J, Magnus P, Joner G. Use of cod liver oil during pregnancy associated with lower risk of type 1 diabetes in the offspring. Diabetologia 2000; 43: 1093-1098. MEDLINE | CrossRef
    38. Hyppönen E, Läärä E, Reunanen A, Järvelin M-R, Virtanen SM. Intake of vitamin D and risk of type 1 diabetes: a birth-cohort study. Lancet 2001; 358: 1500-1503. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (77 KB) | MEDLINE | CrossRef
    39. Stene LC, Joner Gfor the Norwegian Childhood Diabetes Study Group. Use of cod liver oil during the first year of life is associated with lower risk of childhood-onset type 1 diabetes: a large population-based case-control trial. Am J Clin Nutr 2003; 78: 1128-1134. MEDLINE
    40. Kröger H, Penttila IM, Alhava EM. Low serum vitamin D metabolites in women with rheumatoid arthritis. Scand J Rheumatol 1993; 22: 172-177. MEDLINE
    41. Andjelovic Z, Vojinovic J, Pejnovic N, et al. Disease modifying and immunomodulatory effects of high dose 1α (OH) D3 in rheumatoid arthritis patients. Clin Exp Rheumatol 1999; 17: 452-456.
    42. Kane KF, Langman MJS, Williams GR. Vitamin D3 and retinoid X receptor mRNAs are expressed in human colorectal mucosa and neoplasms. Gut 1994; 35 (suppl): S2.
    43. Thomas MG, Tebbutt S, Williamson RCN. Vitamin D and its metabolites inhibit cell proliferation in human rectal mucosa and a colon cancer cell line. Gut 1992; 33: 1660-1663. MEDLINE
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    Affiliations

    a. Blackburn Royal Infirmary, Blackburn, Lancashire BB6 8HE, UK

  • buy jeans

    11/3/2010 10:05:56 PM |

    Also, a full-length booklet that contains just about everything you want to know about vitamin D (or at least a right-this-moment summary of what is known about it) will be available to Track Your Plaque Members for free before the end of the year.

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Diet: One size does NOT fit all

Diet: One size does NOT fit all

Heart Scan Blog reader, Frustrated, posted this comment:

Dr. Davis,
I have spent the last 5 months eating a diet that completely eliminated all wheat products. It was very low carb, and consisted of relatively high protein (eggs, grass fed beef, grass fed raw cheese, oily fish, chicken), good level of olive oil, walnuts, fish oil (3 mg per day), raw vegetables, little bit of fruit. So I had good amount of monounsaturated fat as well as saturated fat from eggs and grass fed products.

My recent NMR showed:
LDL-p. 2,800
Small LDL particle 1700
Small HDL particle 20
HDL-C 40
LDL-C 114
Trigs. 224
Total chol 208

So I was disappointed. Where have I gone wrong? No wheat and sky-high LDL-p and 1700 small LDL particles.


This is indeed unusual. I see this perhaps 5 or 6 times over a year's time, while thousands of other people show the usual expected respone. I don't have Frustrated's lipoprotein panel prior to starting the diet, but I'll bet the starting panel was similar to this "after" panel.

The overwhelming majority of people who follow a diet like the one described--no wheat, limited carbohydrate, grass fed beef, fish, chicken, vegetables, limited fruit--obtain extravagant reductions in small LDL, increased HDL, and reduced triglycerides. So why did Frustrated end up with such disappointing results, values that potentially provide for high risk for heart disease?

There are several possibilities:

1) He/she is in the midst of substantial weight loss. When labs are drawn in the midst of weight loss, stored energy is being mobilized into the blood stream. This energy is mobilized as fatty acids and triglycerides which, upon entering the blood stream, cause increased triglycerides, reduced HDL, chaotic or unpredictable small LDL patterns, and increased blood sugar sufficient to be in the diabetic or pre-diabetic range. This all subsides and settles down to better values around 2 months after weight loss has plateaued.

2) Apo E4--If Frustrated has one or two apo E4 genes, then increased dietary fat will serve to exaggerate measures like small LDL despite the reduction in carbohydrates, LDL particle number, and triglycerides. This is a tough situation, since small LDL particles and high triglycerides signal carbohydrate sensitivity, while apo E4 makes this person, in effect, unable to deal with fats and dietary cholesterol. It gives me the creeps to talk about reducing fat intake, but this becomes necessary along with carbohydrate restriction, else statin drugs will come to the "rescue."

3) Apo E2 + Apo E4--It's possible that an apo E2 is present along with apo E4. Apo E2 makes this person extremely carbohydrate-sensitive and diabetes-prone with awful postprandial (after-meal) persistence of dietary byproducts, alongside the hyperabsorption of fats and dietary cholesterol from apo E4. This is a genuine nutritional rock and a hard place.

4) Other variants--There are probably a dozen or more other genetic variants, thankfully rare, such as apo B and apo C2 variants, that are not generally available for us to measure that could influence Frustrated's response.

5) The low-carb diet is not truly low-carb--Frustrated sounds like a pretty sharp cookie. But it's not uncommon for someone to overlook a substantial source of carbohydrate exposure that triggers these patterns. Fruit is a very common tripping point, since people generally regard unlimited fruit as a healthy thing. This does not seem to be Frustrated's problem. Others indulge in quinoa, sweet potatoes, millet or other carbohydrate sources that look and sound healthy but, in sufficient quantities, can still trigger this pattern.

6) Other--Hypothyroidism, kidney disease, nephrotic syndrome, hypercortisolism and some other relatively rare conditions are worth considering if none of the above apply.

Anyway, that's the list I use when this peculiar situation arises. If obvious weight loss is not the culprit, the next step is apo E testing. However, the wrong response is to reject the low-carbohydrate notion altogether and just limit fat, since this typically leads to uncontrolled small LDL, high triglycerides, and diabetes. It can often mean limiting carbohydrates while also limiting fats. Just as with the combination of apo E4 with Lipoprotein(a), I lump many of these patterns into the emerging world of genetic incompatibilities, genetic traits that code for incompatible metabolic phenomena.


Comments (33) -

  • David Horry

    8/24/2011 6:03:44 AM |

    Hi Dr Davis,
    I am an apoe4 carrier. My trig=62, HDL=69; LDL-C=175 after 16 months on a carbohydrate restricted, gluten free diet. Wondering whether I need to also reduce my fat intake. But then what is left to eat? Making up the calorie difference with protein does not sound too healthy.

    David

  • Dr. William Davis

    8/24/2011 12:24:19 PM |

    Hi, David--

    I would urge you to NOT rely on the calculated LDL value, since on a low-carb diet with potential conversion of small to large LDL particles calculated LDL can substantially overestimate true LDL.

    The best: LDL particle number through NMR lipoprotein analysis. The next best: apoprotein B, widely available from nearly all labs.

    When you're armed with this information, then you can make an intelligent decision about diet changes.

  • Paul

    8/24/2011 1:43:34 PM |

    Regarding Item 6

    There was some traffic between Chris Kresser and Jimmy Moore on Twitter yesterday regarding whether low carb caused low T3 in susceptible individuals. Clearly bad news for heart health.

    I am a treated hypothyroid and this was my recent experience - I had gone low carb and ended up with an abscess in the roof of my mouth that needed antibiotics.  When tested, my T3 had fallen from 5.5 to 3.8 (RR 4 - 6.8) - however, my TSH was 0.672 (RR 0.35-4.5).  In the UK, this low T3 would normally would have been missed as there is a TSH only testing policy here unless the TSH is found to be outside the reference range - I elected to pay privately for the T3 test.

    I remain on low-carb (and wheat free of course) as it is the only approach which allows me to lose weight, and have increased my meds from 75T4+20T3 to 100T4+40T3.

    I would query whether you consider hypothyroidism to be rare. I suspect it is very common.

  • steve

    8/24/2011 6:52:16 PM |

    Hi Dr. Davis:
    What if the patient  followed the above diet, had a particle count of 2,100, but only 200 were small and HDL 69 and Trgs 66.  Would this be acceptable, and better than a particle count of 640, less than 90 small, HDL 64, Trgs 45, but on statin and Zetia?  Assume thyroid and D all normal, and Apo E3/3
    Thanks for all the input

  • Chris

    8/24/2011 7:26:24 PM |

    Hi Dr Davis,
    This post really hit home with me (and ironically this is my first visit to your site).  I had a heart attack 2 years ago (34 years old, ate well or so I thought, in great physical condition at 5'9" 150 lbs).  My cardiologist advised the usual low fat diet and pravastatin, and while my lipids are better than they were, I'm still very concerned they are not near where they should be.

    About 5 weeks ago I found the primal diet and began eating that diet.  Last week I had another lipid test and my numbers actually got worse (not by much).  Would you mind reviewing my numbers and if you have any suggestions I would appreciate it.

    8/31/2009 heart attack
    total chol 115
    LDL 74
    HDL 16
    Triglycerides 126
    VLDL 25

    07/19/2010 checkup
    total chol 138
    LDL 64
    HDL 33
    Triglycerides 203
    VLDL 41

    03/21/2011 Healthfair
    total chol 122
    LDL 69
    HDL 31
    Triglycerides 111
    VLDL 22

    8/19/2011 walk in lab:
    total chol 159
    LDL 98
    HDL 34
    Triglycerides 135
    VLDL 27

    Glucose 97
    hsCRP 1.2
    A1c 5.5

    Do you suggest giving the "primal" diet more time or do you suspect I may have another condition causing this?

  • Chris

    8/24/2011 7:36:33 PM |

    Also in May of this year I had the following tests done at the cardiologists:
    Date of service: May 13, 2011
    CAT Scan MRI & NMR
    Diagnostic Radiology X-Ray
    Cardiovascular Stress Test

    I was told everything was fine.

  • Might-o'chondri-AL

    8/25/2011 2:28:51 AM |

    Track Your Plaque once gave a desirable level of ApoB  as under 70 mg.dl as surrogate marker for the desirable LDL particle number (which is less than 700 nm/l) if one only has ApoB testing.  Maybe some one else can recall the conversion ratio of ApoB into LDL particle numbers.

    A cholesterol fractions normal transfer from HDL to ApoB is governed by  the cholesterol ester transfer protein (CETP). Genetic variants of CETP can cause differences in the numbers of  small LDL and sparse CETP can cause cholesterol to stay stuck in HDL  ( CETP has little impact on numerical % of HDL). So genetic variants of ApoB can influence the levels of cholesterol shunting around.

    In  the liver ApoB normally gets it's lipids when ApoB goes into a cell's endoplasmic reticulum. And if the ApoB doesn't improperly degrade ( ApoB needs "enough" microsomal triglyceride transfer protein SREBP-1c, the sterol regulatory element binding protein, to avoid degrading) then ApoB can pick up triglycerides to form VLDL molecules. So, if there is not enough liver SREBP-1c  then lipids can't be transferred over to make triglyceride rich VLDL; conversely lots of liver SREBP-1c provokes extra VLDL.

    Doc says carbohydrate related  post-prandial high glucose not only induces  more VLDL output  from the liver but that this is part of the mechanism whereby carbs can boost body fat. High carbohydrate intake causes extra lipo-genesis in the liver because a significant  reflex of high post -prandial liver insulin is a signal that upregulates SREBP-1c. Then SREBP-1c expression rises and that in turn activates genes for the lipogenic enzymes (ex: fatty acid synthesase & acetyl CoA carboxylase),

    Rogue readings of VLDL may be due to viral hepatitis proteins, flavivirus and pestivirus, which can decrease VLDL formation and secretion while dropping levels of ApoB. Viral proteins "smear" onto lipids and this blocks SREBP-1c action and viral proteins can also "stick" on to the HDL protein fraction ApoA1 inside of the  liver cells' Golgi Apparatus. Thus in chronic liver disease and hepatitis circulating VLDL associated triglycerides eventually decreases so there are more non-VLDL  triglycerides in play.

  • Jack Daniels

    8/25/2011 11:49:38 AM |

    Hi Dr. Davis,

    I was just wondering, due to many healthy cultures including the kitava, okinawan's...etc, who indulge in rather high carb intakes and retain rather pristine health, is it possible that high trigs, low hdl..etc may just be a lipid profile reflecting high carb* intake rather than suggesting atherogenic buildup ?

    *when based on safe starchy type carbs

  • Dr. William Davis

    8/25/2011 3:42:09 PM |

    Hi, Paul--
    In the population I see, hypothyroidism is exceptionally common, both in people on low-carb but also in people prior to initiating their low-carb efforts. So, without a formal analysis, I'm skeptical that low-carb in and of itself causes free T3 to drop.
    There are also numerous inhibitors of the 5'-deiodinase enzyme that converts T4 to T3, including perchlorate residues from fertilizers in vegetables and polyfluorooctanoic acid, the residue of non-stick cookware, just to name a couple.

  • Dr. William Davis

    8/25/2011 3:43:29 PM |

    This is the BIG unanswered question. Sadly, there are next to no data that speaks to this question.
    My day to day answer has been to 1) eliminate small LDL, then 2) maintain LDL particle number 1500 nmol/L or less. But that is pure speculation on my part.

  • Dr. William Davis

    8/25/2011 3:45:22 PM |

    Hi, Chris--
    Something doesn't compute: Every panel you list is the pattern of excessive carbohydrate consumption and/or sensitivity. So something is sneaking through. There is no question that a "primal" or low-carbohydrate approach works for this pattern.  

    You might also have an Apo E2 gene that amplifies carbohydrate sensitivity.

  • Dr. William Davis

    8/25/2011 3:47:01 PM |

    Hi, Might--
    As always, you are an incredible fountain of unique insights!

  • Dr. William Davis

    8/25/2011 3:47:44 PM |

    Sorry, Jack, I didn't understand your question. Could you rephrase?

  • Chris

    8/25/2011 4:28:55 PM |

    Thanks.  I've only been eating primal/paleo for about five weeks, so only the last panel would reflect this (if thats enough time to be reflected in my lipid panel).  I will re-test after another few months.

  • Jack Kronk

    8/25/2011 4:53:55 PM |

    Dr Davis. Jeez. This sounds similar to my story (Frustrated's #s). I have eaten Paleo for over a year now, I have done exceedingly well with body composition in that time. See my "Share You Paleo Before and After" here ---> http://paleohacks.com/questions/7058/share-your-paleo-before-and-after/28493#28493. But this only adds to the confusion for me (and others).

    For some reason, my labs came back on July 8, 2011 with small dense LDL and pathetic HDL at 40, despite a diet rich in GF beef, pastured eggs, bacon, pasture butter, coconut oil, ghee, veggies, starch and fruits only for carb sources, etc etc. I spend mega money to eat well. We don't mess around. I posted my VAP panel results on PaleoHacks last month and it has resulted in a lot of attention on this very subject. Chris Masterjohn weighed in with his thoughts. Dr Kruse wrote a blog all about it.

    http://paleohacks.com/questions/50347/hack-jack-kronks-vap-test-results

    I will be retesting again in about a month, as I have made some changes, like eliminating bananas, less heavy cream and pasture butter, etc.

    My lab said it's $390 just to do the ApoE test. Is this a normal price? If not, where do you recommend people get the testing done?

    I'm genuinely confused. It's like my body is saying... "Yes Jack. Good job. I am very happy with what you are eating. I will continue to keep fat off and pack on muscle." But then my heart is saying "Nooooo. Stop!!"

    How can this be?

  • Jack Daniels

    8/25/2011 5:29:06 PM |

    I was questioning if your pathological interpretation of a blood lipid profile that exhibits low hdl and high triglycerides, could instead just be a reflection of a high carb diet rather than suggesting an increased risk for CVD. I was referencing a couple high carb cultures, such as the Okinawa and the kitava, who exhibit a similar lipid profile but have very small incidence of CVD. Compared to other cultures with similar lipid profiles, such as the Swedes and Americans, who have much higher rates of CVD would suggest it's more about quality of blood lipids rather than their certain partitioning. Hopefully that's a better re-phrasal?

  • steve

    8/25/2011 5:57:08 PM |

    This is the BIG unanswered question. Sadly, there are next to no data that speaks to this question.
    My day to day answer has been to 1) eliminate small LDL, then 2) maintain LDL particle number 1500 nmol/L or less. But that is pure speculation on my part.

    My understanding related to your above comment is that large LDL is nearly as athrogenic as small LDL and that you want the particle number low with mix between largle and small LDL taking secondary importance.  Of course, that is based on a diet that the avg american consumes,  and not on the low carb with wheat sugar and cornstarch elimination you advocate.
    Am i under a correct understanding regarding large LDL being dangerous as well and therefore the need to minimize this even with your dietary recommendations?  Also, i thought you advocated a total LDL particle number to approach 600?  Is your 1500 number a revised viewpoint based on newer diet or clinical observations?
    Thank you again.

  • Might-o'chondri-AL

    8/25/2011 7:53:36 PM |

    Server error blocking me again ... testing after hour passed.

  • Might-o'chondri-AL

    8/25/2011 8:49:34 PM |

    ApoE is crucial to VLDL & chylomicron formation. Variant ApoE 2 less efficient at transfering lipids to liver and is binding lipids up an extra +/- 2%; result is that lipids take longer to clear from circulation and more can go wrong. From my notes, here is the rate some ancestral populations have at least 1 copy of ApoE2: 2-4% of Mexican-american & American Indian, also  3-4% of Japanese & West African. There is 0% of South American Indians with ApoE2 and one wonders which variation of  ApoE  might be in Kitava melanesians. .
    ApoE4 degrades easiest of all ApoE forms, leaving protein fragments in cell's cytosol which then can affect a mitochondria's lipid binding region impairing the performing of  tasks. In addition ApoE4 fragments diminish gene PPAR gamma expression; and this depresses the desirable bio-genesis of mitochondria. The affects on mitochondria may be why high levels of dietary fat is problematic for ApoE4 individuals; there may be too sparse output of viable mitochondria and mitochondria membranes are involved in how efficiently we burn fat or glucose.  .
    In light of these ApoE4 nuances it is interesting to know that fasting raises free fatty acid levels (from fats in the body and not loose fats from recent food); and then those free fatty acids upregulate  gene for PPAR gamma in the liver. Fasting makes one put out ketones  because of the extra PPAR gamma programing and this ketogenesis is also one way that activating more PPAR gamma improves insulin sensitivity. This suggests to me that individuals with ApoE4 may (?) find some benefit from modified fasting; possibly something like decidedly fewer meals in a day and also simply not grazing on snacks (ie: in addition to just trying to select what foods to eat) between meals that are regularly spaced apart (ie: very early breakfast to let meal times spread put more evenly) .

    Finally again from my notes, here is the rate some ancestral population have at least 1 copy of ApoE4: .14-19% Germans & Finns, also 7-12%  French & Italians. Of course America is one of the world's melting pots so an individual's propensity for ApoE 4 & ApoE 2 is hard to pin point.

  • Jack Kronk

    8/25/2011 9:02:36 PM |

    This is fascintaing Might. I have been guilty of snacking too much. All healthy snacks, but still the concept of grabbing bites of delicious foods between meals might be messing with my liver. For my VAP test, I did not fast. Chris Masterjohn believes this was the reason (or at least the reason for dismissal) of my increase in triglycerides in the blood. I am most concerned about my low HDL, because if I raise my HDL, I believe my LDL will become more dominantly pattern A.

  • Paul

    8/25/2011 11:04:33 PM |

    Thank you for the reply.  I would like to share a speculation.  Strict low carb means gluconeogenesis means an increased cortisol demand? OK in young fit Paleo men, but what about long-term un(der)treated hypothyroid individuals?

    In "Safe Uses of Cortisol", Dr William Mck Jefferies (p. 183/4) observes that low dose (20mg/day) of hydrocortisone taken by a patient with hypothyroidism increases T3,  lowers T4 and improves patient energy levels suggesting such low dose cortisol enhances T4 to T3 conversion.

    Could VLC, by putting demands on potentially weakened adrenals, have the opposite effect?

  • Might-o'chondri-AL

    8/26/2011 12:10:58 AM |

    HDL molecules hold triglycerides (there are 45 different variations of triglycerides in circulation, which are based on what their esterified fatty acid component is), cholesterol esters (about 13 - 27% of the HDL surface particles), shingomyelins and glycerophospholipids. HDL's principle proteins are +/- 70% ApoA1 and +/- 20% ApoA2;  yet any changes in the ratio of ApoA2 from genetics (Kitavans?, I propose so) or drugs (ex:fibrates) can have effects.  

    Usually people with low levels of  HDL have more trigs on their HDL surface (compared to those with high levels of HDL) and low HDL is associated with the passing of more cholesterol esters to VLDL & chylomicrons. Also, when HDL trig levels go up that makes it easier for the liver enzyme hepatic lipase to cleave off more ApoA1 for the kidneys to clear away; and that further tends to keep HDL levels low.  

    In comparison people with high levels of HDL have more cholesterol esters on their HDL; which may be due in part to cholesterol esters affinity for ApoA1 in HDL. And statisticly high levels of HDL are usually associated with bigger ("large") HDL molecule size. Both large HDL and ApoA1 are considered to be more protective factors against atherosclerosis.

    I suspect that Kitavan melanesians' low HDL fortuitously correlates with a geneticly higher than normal % of ApoA2; and ApoA2 configures more deeply nestled into the HDL complex than ApoA1. It (ApoA2) influences molecular  interactions all the way to the HDL surface and limits certain lipid dynamics.

    ApoA2 holds ApoA1 off of mature HDL molecules and this results in a shunting of ApoA1 into forming up the pre-Beta HDL; these lipid poor ApoA1 configurations are great at doing reverse cholesterol transport that brings back cholesterol  to the liver for excreting as bile acids. Those pre-Beta HDL are small, yet notably excellent at taking cholesterol away from nefarious macrophage foam cells (the large HDL  molecule also picks cholesterol nicely from foam cells).

    Experiments see that preceeding type of change with fibrate drug doses, which only minimally raise HDL & ApoA1 yet increase the ApoA2 amount in HDL by over 25%. Since fibrates are agonists activating the peroxisome proliferator activiated receptor PPAR alpha it might be instructive to see if anything in the Kitavan diet is a similar agonist, such as heirloom tuber roots derived from wild yam with high diosgenin content (diosgenin is well known to affect PPAR gamma).

  • Dr. William Davis

    8/26/2011 5:15:14 PM |

    Hi, Steve--
    There really is no final word on what the desired endpoint is when small LDl has been eliminated and you have pure large LDL. In a perfect world, I'd wish for a particle number of 600 nmol/L with pure large LDL. But I'm no longer entirely sure this is necessary. But this remains anecdotal. There are no formal data, nor do I have any formal analysis of our own data on this question.

  • Dr. William Davis

    8/26/2011 5:17:32 PM |

    Hi, Jack--
    Don't know, since I've never seen any genuine lipoprotein data on these populations. Most of the data I've seen has been total cholesterol, which is far too crude to draw any conclusions from.

    Have you seen lipoprotein data on these populations?

  • Jack Kronk

    8/26/2011 5:33:12 PM |

    Might. Do you suspect that I have low HDL and highish Trigs/VLDL in the blood for this reason? I do take in a fair amount of protein (including a whey isolate daily). Also, plenty of eggs. Does dietary protein consumption have any actual affect on HDL's principle protein and/or surface cholesterol esters?

  • The Surgical Blog

    8/27/2011 3:52:44 AM |

    Yes Jack Kronk, it seems that you have low HDL and highish Trigs, I do also think.

  • Nancy Milligan

    8/28/2011 7:51:57 PM |

    Just wanted to comment. I've been a long time low carb person, gluten-free too. I also had my thyroid ablated with RAI many years ago. I have found, as have many low carbers, that my reverse T3 is very high and Free T3 is scraping the bottom or below the range.

    Unfortunately this does seem to be a common side-effect of low carb eating. It's even documented in studies on the topic.

    We had a low carb eater recently watching his LDL climb to very high levels after he began eating low carb. He started taking cytomel and his LDL is coming down very nicely.

    Did he get a sudden onset of hypothyroidism that just coincided with low carb eating? I suppose that's possible, but I do think there's something more going on.

    I'm taking Armour thyroid myself, but I still have the tendency to turn T4 into reverse T3 and I suppose that means the Free T3 can't get to the receptors. I'm going to experiment with raising my carbs a little higher and sticking to things like yams and squash for my carbs.

  • Espen Rostrup

    8/31/2011 12:33:45 PM |

    Dear dr. Davis,
    I just attended the annual cardiology congress of the European Society of Cardiology. Amongst others, the new guidelines on dyslipidemia were presented and I had the opportunity to ask the working group the question you mention above in your first of opportunities : What about measuring lipids during an ongoing substantial weight loss? The were not able to give me a proper answer.
    Do you have any scientific references saying that weight loss induce a temporary dyslipidemia or is it based on your experience?
    I would be most thankful for your comment on this.
    Best regards
    Espen Rostrup, MD, PhD-fellow
    Bergen, Norway

  • Dr. William Davis

    9/2/2011 2:56:29 AM |

    Dr. Rostrup--

    Unfortunately, I know of no published data documenting this effect. However, I have seen it hundreds of times. It is, in fact, quite predictable: drop in HDL, rise in triglycerides, variable small LDL effects, increased blood glucose. It all subsides and improves over time.

    It would indeed be an interesting study to chronicle the changes serially in a small number of people.

  • Dana

    9/8/2011 8:28:14 PM |

    I am also seeing a heck of a lot of omega-6 intake there.  Also, the healthfulness of monounsaturated fats is a bit overstated.  I've heard of studies where they had 3 groups of people.  One got their normal saturated fat, one group replaced the saturated fat with olive oil and the third group replaced the sat-fat with corn oil.  The corn oil eaters did the worst in health outcomes, but the olive oil group wasn't great either--both groups that replaced the sat-fat did more poorly.  I've heard of other studies where lard was compared with olive oil and the lard-eaters turned out better.  Bottom line, the human body seems to like saturated fat best.  (Lard is not as saturated as butter, but it is more saturated than olive oil.)  If I were in a position to make medical recommendations (I'm not), I'd tell someone like this to ixnay on the plant oils for a while and see what happens.

    It should be noted that one of the more dubious selling points of grass-finished meat is that it is lower in saturated fat.  To me, this is not a selling point.  If this person were only getting PUFAs from their grass-finished meat it would be one thing--at least then it'd be closer to a 1:1 omega-6/omega-3 ratio.  But that's not what's going on here.  If they were just eating the fish they might still be OK (depends on the fish--cold-water is better).  But they're adding in walnut oil and chicken consumption and those are going to add more omega-6, even if the chicken's pastured.

    I'm curious what this person's inflammation markers are.  If they're off the map the LDL may still be high because the body's trying to repair the inflammation.  That would explain the low HDL too; LDL takes cholesterol out to the body from the liver, and HDL returns it to the liver.  If the cholesterol is *needed* elsewhere in the body then of course it won't be returned to the liver.

    Even if inflammation markers are normal, this person's diet may not be meeting their needs for saturated fats in the cell membranes, which may mean they need more cholesterol in their cell membranes to try to make up the deficit.  Not an ideal situation.

    Get the PUFA reduced, get the inflammation down if any, see what the lipids do and then we can talk about weird genes.  Absent the necessary DNA profile we really don't know, anyway.

  • Dana

    9/8/2011 8:31:06 PM |

    "just eating the fish" = in addition to the pastured beef.  I would not drop beef in favor of fish, there's too much good nutrition a person would be giving up, but fish in addition to beef's not bad.  Chicken used to be a luxury food, you had it on Sundays if then.  Best that it's relegated to that role again.  The white meat is too dry and the dark meat's rife with PUFAs.  Other fowl are not much better.  A foray into the USDA's nutritional database is an eye-opener.

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Wag the Dog

Wag the Dog

What if the system to provide heart care has already gotten as big as it should be?

Worse (for hospitals), what if it’s already far larger than it needs to be? Can the system continue to increase revenues if they’ve already attained titanic proportions and outgrown demand? After all, darn it, there are only so many sick people around.

Hospital administrators might have to face an unpleasant choice: downsize to strip excess capacity and suffer the consequences in a competitive market, or . . . fabricate demand for their services.

Like the Dustin Hoffman and Robert DeNiro characters in the movie, Wag the Dog, about how two media-manipulators divert public attention away from a Presidential sex scandal by fabricating a war, spin is everything. It’s enough to sidetrack public attention from a scandal, obscure a truth, send us on a useless detour.

If healthcare for the heart isn’t driven by need, but many still desire to reap the benefits of the procedure-focused system, why not increase the perceived need?

That’s precisely the course that many hospital systems have chosen to follow. If the market you serve has been tapped to its full potential, then grow the market.

Imagine if a company like General Motors were to operate this way. In 2006, for instance, GM sold 9.1 million automobiles. If GM executives were to decide that they’d like to outstrip Toyota by boosting sales by 10% to 10 million, how would they do it? They would first have to determine whether it was feasible to grow demand for their product. If deemed possible, the company would need to ramp up manufacturing capacity to anticipate increased demand. If they miscalculate, GM could be stuck with a costly surplus and have to swallow the costs, maybe selling leftovers at a loss. (We don’t mean to pick specifically on GM; they’re a fine company as far as we’re concerned. This is just a hypothetical illustration.)

But what if a company could concoct some sort of scheme to persuade the car-buying public that they just had to have their cars or trucks? In other words, they could, in effect, create demand for their products.

As perverse as it sounds, that is exactly what occurs in healthcare for heart disease. The system long ago exceeded the necessary level of infrastructure to maintain a high-quality level of care accessible to most Americans. Instead, it continues to grow through a distortion of perception, delivering more services of increasing complexity to larger and larger numbers of people.

The size of the market is therefore a manipulable thing, something that can be massaged and cultivated. There are a variety of clever ways to exaggerate the need for heart procedures.

Why not raise the alarm for heart disease every chance you get? When a local sports figure survived a heart attack here in Milwaukee, St. _____ marketing department was right there, broadcasting the process in TV ads after his recovery. What could be more American than baseball, apple pie . . . and St. _____ Hospital? After his hospital discharge, the 57-year old local icon was shown on the sidelines with his team, back on the job, and at home with family, all beaming, just three months after a bypass operation. “I received only the very best care at St. _____ Hospital. They treated me like family. St. _____ doctors and nurses are the best!” Predictably, a two-month long spike in hospital testing followed filled with people worried whether they, too, might be in imminent danger. Several local cardiologists boasted of the many sports figures who came through the stress testing and heart catheterization labs, though virtually all checked out to be fine.

Though it can serve a legitimate purpose in some situations, stress tests are the ultimate example of a heart scam built on the perception of danger. Pull people in with promises of reassuring them whether or not they have heart disease, only to provide murky results that usually do no such thing. The pitfalls of the test are turned to advantage. The all too common equivocal or mildly abnormal result can be converted into a hospital procedure. (Imagine you could perform such alchemy on the uncertain calculations on your income taxes.)

With millions of stress tests performed every year and the push to perform more and more screening tests, the market has, in effect, been expanded—even though no increase in the disease itself has actually occurred.

Beware: As the scramble for heart patients intensifies, you are going to feel like you are being pulled closer and closer into the jaws of this hungry monster called the American cardiovascular healthcare machine.

Comments (7) -

  • Anna

    4/20/2009 4:24:00 PM |

    "As the scramble for heart patients intensifies, you are going to feel like you are being pulled closer and closer into the jaws of this hungry monster called the American cardiovascular healthcare machine."

    I wish our primary care doc understood this.  When we expressed some reservations about a follow-up CT angiogram (and entering the CVD "machine" prematurely) after my husband's EBT heart scan score of 282 (and the recommendation for a statin Rx STAT without a chance to try diet, lifestyle and supplements), we were reprimanded in no uncertain terms and accused of distrusting Western medicine, and what we wanted to try (TYP) was malpractice if he agreed.  I really thought this PCP was one of the more enlightened PCPs in our system because he was informed on and recommended optimal Vit D levels, bioidentical hormones and compounded Rx, and EBT coronary artery calcium heart scans.

  • Rick

    4/21/2009 5:14:00 AM |

    I take your point here and thank you for putting it so clearly. But I'm not sure that the system has "outgrown demand" in any absolute sense. As people conquer some kinds of illness, they live to grow old and encounter new kinds. Perhaps if switch resources are switched from procedures to preventive and geriatric medicine, hospitals can maintain their size?

  • vin

    4/21/2009 8:53:00 AM |

    Anna, welcome to the real world.

    Nowdays, I just go to the doctor to have one or other test done and then to hear the results and the diagnosis. Then I choose my own path. Of course I say I need time to think things over and I will get back to him when I have decided.

  • Jim Purdy

    4/22/2009 11:25:00 AM |

    Scary stuff. I do things the same way Vin does.

  • Anonymous

    4/22/2009 4:10:00 PM |

    it is so ironic to see Google ads for major procedure-driven local heart centers and hospitals alongside your wonderfully insightful blog!

    If anyone doubts the truth of this most recent Heart Scan Blog entry "Wag the Dog", just take a look at the targeted marketing Google slips in.  In my case it was ads for Houston areas gigantic Memorial-Hermann and Texas Heart Institute, your content may differ.

    madcook

  • Dr. William Davis

    4/22/2009 8:05:00 PM |

    Hi, Mad--

    You noticed?

    All ad revenues, by the way--the modest amounts--go towards defraying the continuing development costs of the Track Your Plaque website. It does not go into my pocket.

  • Trinkwasser

    4/30/2009 7:59:00 AM |

    It's even worse in Diabetes World. The ADA, Diabetes UK etc. sponsored by manufacturers of high carb foodlike substances and drug manufacturers, tell you to eat lots of carbs and offset their effect with lots of meds, thus providing a ready feed to the cardiovascular disease industry (The ACCORD effect)

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Are you the exception?

Are you the exception?


I read about 40 heart scans this morning. In the stack was a 41-year old man with a heart scan score of 841.

That's terribly high for anyone, let alone a 41-year old person. He's lucky to find out about this before catastrophe strikes.

People like this worry me. In general, we advise men to consider a heart scan age 40 and older; women 50 and older. If there's anything exceptional about your family history or your own history, then you might notch these numbers down another 5-10 years. For instance, if your Dad had a heart attack at age 43, you might consider a scan at age 35. Or, if you've had diabetes for several years and you're a 42-year old woman, you might think about a scan. (Men tend to develop measurable plaque by heart scans 10 years before women.)

There are no hard and fast rules. It's unusual for a male to have a score >0 before age 40. Likewise, it's very uncommon for a woman to have a score >0 before age 50. But there are occasional exceptions--but they can be very important exceptions.

Our 41-year old man with the score of 841, for instance, probably had a high score since his mid-30s. I've seen several women without any obvious risk factors with scores in the several hundred range in their early 40s.

My rule: When in doubt, opt for safety. Every day, I still read about people in their 30s, 40s, and 50s dying of heart attacks. It shouldn't happen.

When in doubt, get the heart scan. The most you'll lose is the cost of the scan and a modest exposure to radiation. If your score is zero, you know you're safe for the next 5 or more years. But if you have an exceptional score at a young age, take preventive action.
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